Red States vs Blue States: Breaking Up is Hard To Do

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Once upon a time, there was no state called West Viriginia. It was only Virginia. So, what happened? Political differences. During the civil war, Virginia was a part of the Confederate states of America. Part of Virginia (West Virginia) remained loyal to the Union, so it broke off from Virginia and formed its own state. Click here for a short video (1:29) that gives it more context.

The United States was hyper-polarized during the Civil War (obviously) and people began to choose sides based on their support or non-support of slavery, among other things. These days, I am noticing a repeat of history that I hope does not ultimately become war. What am I talking about? There are a number of states and counties leading secession movements around the USA. Here are 3 recent examples…

February 1, 2021: Texas secession bill formally filed in state legislature

After weeks of touting his secession bill on social media, State Rep. Kyle Biedermann, R-Fredericksburg, formally filed the proposed legislation on Friday, which would give Texans a chance to explore opting out of the union in a referendum.

Biedermann began talking about the potential “Texit” in early December, saying it’s his response to a federal government that is “out of control and does not represent the values of Texans.”

In a news release published after he filed the bill, Biedermann said HB-1359 would not allow for “immediate independence,” but create a referendum that, if approved, would lead to the creation of a committee that would develop a plan for secession.


In this climate, Yes California has announced it appointed Scot Alastair Caithness, a Scottish independence supporter who has lived in San Diego since 2015. Speaking to the Sunday National, he said the campaign has put together a fresh bill to secede, which is seeking to institute a government with proportional representation.

“It is not going to be straight independence, they are looking to get more devolution at this stage,” he says. “They want a vote for 2024 and at that point we will move to devolution… They are looking maybe to 2032 independence.”

May 19, 2021: Five Oregon counties vote to leave state, create ‘Greater Idaho’

On Tuesday, voters in five counties in eastern Oregon urged county officials to begin to promote border relocation and joining Idaho.

The counties — Malheur, Sherman, Grant, Baker and Lake — join Jefferson and Union counties, whose voters applied to join Idaho last year, in their planned secession to what is being called “Greater Idaho.”

While President Biden defeated former President Donald Trump statewide in last fall’s election, the five counties heavily favored Trump.

Will they succeed? Initially I was doubtful but now, I am not so sure. Why? Have you seen the American migration habits these days? People are leaving mostly Democrat run states for the ones run by Republicans. Rather than north vs south, the next civil war (God forbid!) would be red states vs blue states. Battle lines would be a lot easier to draw in that scenario. But, I digress. Check out this data from Tax Foundation.

States with the highest proportion of outbound moves and their political affiliation:

  1. New Jersey (D)
  2. New York (D)
  3. Illinois (D)
  4. Connecticut (D)
  5. California (D)
  6. Kansas (R)
  7. North Dakota (R)
  8. Massachusetts (D)
  9. Ohio (R)
  10. Maryland (D)

States with the highest proportion of inbound moves and their political affiliation:

  1. Idaho (R)
  2. South Carolina (R)
  3. Oregon (D)
  4. South Dakota (R)
  5. Arizona (R)
  6. North Carolina (R)
  7. Tennessee (R)
  8. Alabama (R)
  9. Florida (R)
  10. Arkansas (R)

If this trend continues, the Democrats will be conceding political power to Republicans without anyone firing a shot. Ironic, don’t you think? Check out this quote from The Washington Examiner. (The article is dated January 15, 2021 and the exodus has not stopped since then.)

In the case of California, which ranked fifth on the list of states people are leaving, it was reported last year that the state is in danger of losing an electoral vote for the first time in history due to the amount of people moving out.

New York, which was near the top of the list of states losing residents, is in danger of losing two House seats due to the population loss it experienced in 2020.

Yesterday I said if you go woke, you go broke. I think we are seeing another example of it play out in state migration patterns nationwide. As such, I predict that the 2022 elections will be a political bloodbath for the Democrat party and it will be (in part) due to the Democrats’ reluctance to divorce from their Woke agenda. When (if) that happens, Republicans will have a clearer path to the White House and we may very well see Trump – the sequel in 2024.

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